Mandating a $20/hour living wage across Canada could push over half a million small businesses to the brink of closure

CFIB’s new report highlights flaws with minimum and living wage policies

Toronto, May 15, 2024 – Mandating a $20 per hour living wage in each province would cost the Canadian economy $44.9 billion in extra wages and put almost 600,000 small businesses at risk of becoming unprofitable, finds a new report by the Canadian Federation of Independent Business (CFIB).

The report, entitled “Affordability, minimum wages, and living wages: Striking a balance for small businesses,” analyzes the impact of a $20/hour living wage, a proposal under consideration by several organizations. The report finds that governments need a new approach to address affordability challenges as traditional minimum wage and living wage policies fall short in addressing the root causes of the rising cost of living while simultaneously increasing costs on small businesses. 

"Minimum wage and living wage policies often miss the mark when it comes to truly supporting the most vulnerable workers. Governments are setting these wages with no anchor in economic reality, relying on subjective and unpredictable criteria,” said Beatrix Abdul Azeez, CFIB policy analyst. “Governments should shift away from relying on these blunt tools and instead adopt a new approach to ensure workers can cope with the rising cost of living, while also guaranteeing that small businesses aren't unfairly burdened.” 

The cost of adopting a $20/hour living wage in each Canadian province

 

Province

 

Cost (millions)

 

Small businesses at risk of unprofitability

Newfoundland and Labrador

$943

                 10,653

Prince Edward Island

$332

                     3,100

Nova Scotia

$1,933

                 14,048

New Brunswick

$1,543

                 12,519

Québec

$10,255

               141,927

Ontario

$16,741

               200,387

Manitoba

$2,748

                 23,485

Saskatchewan

$1,823

                 18,432

Alberta

$4,309

                 73,181

British Columbia

$4,325

                 75,495

Canada

$44,900

               572,499

The unintended consequences of minimum wage increases
Recent minimum wage hikes forced 60% of small businesses to raise wages for other workers and 59% of them to raise prices, contributing to current inflationary pressures. In addition, 31% of small businesses had to cut back on hiring young and unskilled workers, with 25% of them reducing overall employment. These findings underscore the need for a more nuanced approach to wage policies that consider the diverse impacts on both workers and businesses alike.

"Canada's cost of living crisis requires a more effective framework: making sure rent, food, and gas prices are affordable and stable while extending support to workers and small businesses through tax reductions,” added Jairo Yunis, CFIB’s director for BC and western economic policy. “This would go a long way in addressing Canada’s affordability shock.”

CFIB recommends that governments:

•    Alleviate the impact of rising minimum wages on small businesses by reducing other taxes and payroll costs (such as small business tax rate, CPP, EI, health/education payroll taxes, etc.)
•    Establish a minimum wage setting process that is predictable, transparent, reflective of market conditions, and mindful of economic impacts. 
•    Link minimum wage adjustments to private sector wage growth or a predetermined percentage of the median wage.
•    Address the root causes of the affordability crisis by enacting policies to increase the supply of housing, reduce energy taxes, and remove interprovincial and international trade barriers. 
•    Provide targeted fiscal support for vulnerable workers through reduced personal income tax rates, increased basic personal amounts, and expanded tax credits. 

Read the full report here.

For media enquiries or interviews, please contact:
Dariya Baiguzhiyeva, CFIB
647-464-2814
public.affairs@cfib.ca  

About CFIB
The Canadian Federation of Independent Business (CFIB) is Canada’s largest association of small and medium-sized businesses with 97,000 members across every industry and region. CFIB is dedicated to increasing business owners’ chances of success by driving policy change at all levels of government, providing expert advice and tools, and negotiating exclusive savings. Learn more at cfib.ca.